01-12-2012, 01:00 AM
Sure, we MIGHT be wrong about one or more of these points of identification. But the basic argument remains, regardless:
(1) If Doorman is not wearing Oswald's shirt, what is the probability that his shirt would match Oswald's in 50, 49, . . . points?
If the probability of matching in one respect BY CHANCE at say, 1/10, then that probability is equal to 1/1 with 50, 49, . . . zeros.
(2) If Doorman is wearing Oswald's shirt, what is the probability that his shirt would match Oswald's in 50, 49, . . . points?
Since they are, BY HYPOTHESIS, the same shirts, the probability they would match is equal to one (minus any chance of errors).
But it is not difficult to determine by visual inspection that there are few, if any errors, among those 50 points of identification.
Your argument, in other words, is simply silly, but there are weak minds here who will grasp after any reed, no matter how slender.
NOT TO MAKE THE OBVIOUS POINT, but this guy does not even dare touch the fact that the photo displays a missing left shoulder,
a man in front of and behind another, an obfuscated face, and the profile of a black man in an anomalous position. So what is the
probability that a photograph would display these features and not be faked? or display these features if it actually were authentic?
And why not consider the damage being done by DENYING OBVIOUS PROOF THAT ALTGENS6 HAS BEEN ALTERED AND THAT LEE
OSWALD WAS ACTUALLY STANDING IN THE DOORWAY AS THE MOTORCADE PASSED BY? You look like a group of nuts and loons.
(1) If Doorman is not wearing Oswald's shirt, what is the probability that his shirt would match Oswald's in 50, 49, . . . points?
If the probability of matching in one respect BY CHANCE at say, 1/10, then that probability is equal to 1/1 with 50, 49, . . . zeros.
(2) If Doorman is wearing Oswald's shirt, what is the probability that his shirt would match Oswald's in 50, 49, . . . points?
Since they are, BY HYPOTHESIS, the same shirts, the probability they would match is equal to one (minus any chance of errors).
But it is not difficult to determine by visual inspection that there are few, if any errors, among those 50 points of identification.
Your argument, in other words, is simply silly, but there are weak minds here who will grasp after any reed, no matter how slender.
NOT TO MAKE THE OBVIOUS POINT, but this guy does not even dare touch the fact that the photo displays a missing left shoulder,
a man in front of and behind another, an obfuscated face, and the profile of a black man in an anomalous position. So what is the
probability that a photograph would display these features and not be faked? or display these features if it actually were authentic?
And why not consider the damage being done by DENYING OBVIOUS PROOF THAT ALTGENS6 HAS BEEN ALTERED AND THAT LEE
OSWALD WAS ACTUALLY STANDING IN THE DOORWAY AS THE MOTORCADE PASSED BY? You look like a group of nuts and loons.
David Josephs Wrote:Bringing to light that a crazy person is crazy does not "resolve" the madness Charles
the crazy person will forever be crazy... and not be aware of it.
The only way this resolves is if Jim Fetzer comes back down to earth and listens to the scores of people who have been his friends and supporters, sounding boards and confidants for years.
Some will brown nose the famous man and ride coat tails, some will be genuine, some will vehemently disagree...
A TRUE RESEARCHER understands the difference and welcomes the counterpoint without venom or hatred, or fear of not being the MOST RIGHT.
We will never get a true or accurate % of "correctness in a match"
and there no such thing as probability of a match when one item is an actual shirt while the other is a poor photographic reproduction....
....the true definition of SUBJECTIVE
Add to this the real concept of photogrammetry and the difficulty it is to perform
and I truly hope Jim and group seriously reexamine the NEGATIVE RAMIFICATIONS to the JFK RESEARCH COMMUNITY of so public a declaration
with such a low probability of accuracy...
Give me a few days and I will compile a list of NON MATCHING ITEMS with the same level of care and % of correctness as our dear comrades.
Stay tuned
DJ