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Norwegian Newspaper has access to ALL 250,000+ Wikileak State Dept. Cables!!! Fasten Seatbelts!
#37
S E C R E T STATE 064621

E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/22/2019

TAGS: AF, PREL, PGOV

SUBJECT: AFGHANISTAN - DOSTUM´S ROLE



Classified By: SRAP Richard C Holbrooke for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d)



1. (U) This is an action request. Please see paragraph 5.

Post is requested to provide a response by close of business

Wednesday, June 24.



2. (SBU) Abdul Rashid Dostum left Afghanistan for Turkey in

2008, following the Akbar Boi incident in Kabul. He has

remained largely out of the Afghan public spotlight since

then, with the reformist elements of Junbesh taking charge

under Noorallah.



3. © We know that Dostum has promised Karzai the Junbesh /

Uzbek vote in the forthcoming Afghan Presidential elections.

What he is getting in return is unclear: there are rumors

that Dostum has been reinstated in his ceremonial role as

Chief of Staff to the Commander in Chief. We understand from

information in other channels that Dostum may be planning to

return to Afghanistan as part of this bargain. Akbar Boi has

threatened to release the (apparently written) text of the

original Dostum-Akbar Boi deal, brokered by Karzai and the

Palace, that effectively kept Dostum out of the country.



4. © Both former Foreign Minister Babacan and Foreign

Minister Davutogliu told Ambassador Holbrooke they would keep

Dostum in Turkey indefinitely.



5. (S) Action request: That Ambassador Jeffrey engage with

hosts at the highest level possible to establish their

understanding of the situation, and make clear that we would

not/not like to see Dostum return to Afghanistan.



6. (S) Karzai may resent our efforts to keep Dostum away. We

understand this risk but believe it will also send an

important signal to Karzai that the rules really have changed

and we will be tougher on important issues in his next term.



7. (U) Points of contact for this cable are [text removed by Aftenposten].



CLINTON
-----------------------------------------------------------------
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 KABUL 000399


SIPDIS

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SCA/FO, SCA/A, S/CRS

STATE PASS TO USAID FOR AID/ANE, AID/DCHA/DG

NSC FOR JWOOD

OSD FOR SHIVERS

CG CJTF-82, POLAD, JICCENT

E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/04/2018

TAGS: EAID, KDEM, PGOV, AF

SUBJECT: TURKS WANT DOSTUM TO STAY QUIET IN THE NORTH,

AMBASSADOR PRESSES FOR HIS DEPARTURE

REF: A. KABUL 303

B. ANKARA 217

Classified By: Ambassador William B. Wood for reasons 1.4 (B) and (D).

Summary

-------

1. © Turkish Ambassador to Afghanistan Ethem Tokdemir

conveyed to the Ambassador February 14 his government´s

intention to encourage the Afghan Government to permit Dostum

to return quietly to the north. Tokdemir passed a copy of

his talking points cautioning against actions leading to

instability or ethnic tensions and expressing skepticism that

Dostum would be willing to leave for Turkey. He confided

(protect) that he personally sees the Uzbek strongman as

incorrigible and knows him to be in poor health. The

Ambassador said sending Dostum back to his stronghold in the

North would not help Afghanistan and pressed for his

departure. Tokdemir said President Karzai will have the

chance to make his case when he meets the Turkish Foreign

Minister on February 16 in Qatar.

Turkish Ambassador Advocates Dostum´s Quiet Retreat

--------------------------------------------- ------

2. © Turkish Ambassador to Afghanistan Ethem Tokdemir

conveyed to the Ambassador February 14 Turkey´s intention to

encourage the Afghan Government to permit Dostum to return to

the north, where the Turks will encourage him to remain quiet

and keep a low profile. Tokdemir passed a copy of his

talking points expressing support for Dostum´s cooperation

against the Taliban, describing him as a partner for

stability, cautioning against actions that would lead to

instability or ethnic tensions, and expressing skepticism

that Dostum would be willing to leave for Turkey (paragraph

7). Tokdemir said the Turkish Foreign Minister hopes to meet

with President Karzai on February 16 at a conference in

Qatar, saying Karzai will have the chance to make his case.

Ambassador Presses to Help Afghanistan, Not Dostum

--------------------------------------------- -----

3. © The Ambassador said Turkey´s strategy in the north is

unclear. Turkey appears to be protecting Dostum rather than

the Turkic people in the North, who endure raids,

criminality, political fractiousness, and a crisis every six

months. He acknowledged that supporting action against

Dostum would be difficult for Turkey, but if no action is

taken the status quo will continue and Dostum will emerge

stronger. The U.S. will support whatever Karzai decides, but

there is no shortage of reasons to take action against Dostum

now.

4. © Tokdemir confided that he does not necessarily share

his government´s message. He believes Dostum is

incorrigible, recounting that he was drunk at 10 am when he

last met the Turkish prime minister, a devout Muslim.

Nevertheless, Tokdemir said Dostum is politically isolated

and Junbesh party members are trying to convince him to go to

the north and stay quiet. Tokdemir planned to tell Dostum

that he is "the natural leader of the Turkic people in

Afghanistan," but that he has "provoked too many problems."

Tokdemir acknowledged Turkey´s influence on Dostum, noting

that Dostum had said he had interpreted as "an order"

Turkey´s request to turn off the public protests that had led

to the ouster of former Jowzjan governor Juma Khan Hamdard

last year. Tokdemir suggested telling Dostum "we´ve saved

you several times in the past" and this is the last time. He

asked whether this might be an acceptable temporary solution.

Tokdemir added, "I think he will die soon; he is not sound

mentally or physically."

5. © The Ambassador repeated that he was not sure how

sending Dostum back to his stronghold in the north would help

Afghanistan, especially if he is mentally unstable.

Arresting him would cause problems, but there is already a

precedent for his departure for Turkey for medical treatment.

KABUL 00000399 002 OF 003

Afghan Government Weakened, Considering Options

--------------------------------------------- --

6. © Foreign Minister Spanta confirmed for the Ambassador

that he talked to the Turks. The Afghan Government would

still like to take some action, but it is not clear whether

they will go as far as making an arrest. For the moment, it

appears that the latest incident has strengthened Dostum and

weakened the Afghan Government.

Talking Points Supporting Dostum

--------------------------------

7. © Turkish Ambassador´s talking points:

- General Dostum contributed enormously to the fight against

Taliban in the past. He is still a prominent actor in the

anti-Taliban alliance whose cooperation is indispensable.

- It should also be recalled that Dostum is considered a

natural leader by the majority of the Afghan citizens of

Turkic origin.

- Dostum is not a threat to the Afghan Government or ISAF.

On the contrary he is a "partner for stability", if utilized

properly, for these two parties.

- We certainly believe that any action or arrest

whatsoever against Dostum will negatively affect the

stability of Afghanistan.

- This will inevitably shake the trust of the Turkic people

toward the central government.

- Should such an action lead to a skirmish between

Afghan security forces and the supporters of Dostum, and if

some people, including Dostum, get injured or killed, the

people of northern Afghanistan will definitely take to the

streets. Such an environment

could easily turn into a fertile ground for Taliban

exploitation.

- While Afghan and ISAF forces are busy in the southern and

southeastern provinces, as well as around Kabul, we do not

think it would be wise to lose an ally in the north and

alienate a peaceful community.

- I understand from the meeting between our Ambassadors in

Kabul that you also share our concerns in this regard.

Therefore we would appreciate it if you could kindly share

our common concerns with our Afghan friends as well.

- There is one more point I would like to make. It is not

easy for me to understand the rationale behind letting

Mohammad Akbar Bay free, after all the trouble he has caused.

- One cannot but wonder whether this was an intentional move

to disturb Dostum.

- In countries like Afghanistan where many ethnic groups

live together, peaceful coexistence is of vital importance

for the future of the country. Our main concern is that, an

action against Dostum could lead to ethnic tensions that

would run the risk of upsetting ethnic harmony in Afghanistan.

- Our priority is the maintenance of stability and

ethnic harmony in Afghanistan, rather than defending

the practices of Dostum.

- While we do not concur with Dostum´s many practices, we

still consider him an element of stability for the unity of

Afghanistan and a solid partner against Taliban.

- I would like to assure you that we will continue

advising Dostum to keep his sanity.

KABUL 00000399 003 OF 003

- I do not think he would be willing to come to Turkey at

this stage.

WOOD
"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who writes the laws. - Mayer Rothschild
"Civil disobedience is not our problem. Our problem is civil obedience! People are obedient in the face of poverty, starvation, stupidity, war, and cruelty. Our problem is that grand thieves are running the country. That's our problem!" - Howard Zinn
"If there is no struggle there is no progress. Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never did and never will" - Frederick Douglass
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Norwegian Newspaper has access to ALL 250,000+ Wikileak State Dept. Cables!!! Fasten Seatbelts! - by Peter Lemkin - 20-01-2011, 05:30 PM

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